I think were going to have a lot more vegetarians soon, I hope. Im curious if you agree with the first two if you think the first two things are going to happen. So I think technology is a necessary, but not sufficient, part of the solutions here. So that last piece is a piece I want to focus on, that marginal cost of zero. The ink is dry on that. Sam Altman education started with John Burroughs School where he finished his high school studies and later on, was admitted to S tanford University. But, Sam Altman education came to a halt when he had to drop out in 2005, and later on, in 2017, he received an honorary degree from the University of Waterloo. Anyone can read what you share. So maybe what happens is you still go to a lawyer, but that lawyer can be a factor of 10 or 100 times more efficient and they dont need the staff of researchers they have today. So I think there is no future that doesnt have these systems in it. This decision came shortly after YC announced it would be moving its headquarters to San Francisco. But instead of stopping its development, Altman said "society and the developers of AGI have to figure out how to get it right. Collectively, the companies Y Combinator has funded are worth $80 billion. is central to that, but its not the only one they actually make a case for much more radical form of public ownership. Lets do 10. But how wild it is depends on what that is buying you, what the value of it is. will be able to do and what do you think it is likely that it will be able to do? [17], In October 2015, Altman announced YCContinuity, a $700million growth-stage equity fund that invests in YCcompanies. Thats great. Our version of this is that technology is good, capitalism is fine, but you can put structures in place now that get you to the goal that you want. You used to not have a lot of vegetarians in the Western world. And I hope that we are in the late stage of the twilight of factory farming. People who pay $20 a month for ChatGPT Plus get benefits such as acess to the site even when traffic is high, faster responses from the bot, and first access to new features and ChatGPT improvements. And I mean, my worry I dont think there should be a trillionaire. They clearly make some predictions. On the trillionaire question we were talking earlier about health care. tutors that can teach you math or other topics. But I think in order to do that, you might need a much more economically aggressive form of progressivism. One is that I think an endless truth of human society, at least in the age of capitalism, is that status follows money. And were paying an awful price for it right now. According to reporting by Vox's Recode, there was speculation that Altman would run for Governor of California in the 2018 election, which he did not enter. As an entrepreneur, Sam Altman is recognized for his association with Helion and Oklo. Despite its potential, Altman said AGI, or artificial general intelligence, comes with "serious risk of misuse, drastic accidents, and societal disruption." That just in order to raise the money, there has to be a business model, a backer. I buy some stuff from all kinds of developers whose names I forgot. You think that it will physics is going to be up for debate at that point? I have a lot of answers to this question, so I will start with a few. Before you push go on this extremely powerful system, you would like as much time as you can get and it wont be totally in your control, because some other government can be doing whatever. being able to be what we call general purpose A.I. Have something interesting to share on our site? He believes that nuclear energy is a crucial area of technological advancement and has played a role in its development for several companies. Because Ive been pushing so far in this conversation on the problems of capitalism. But I think for something numeric that we can measure today, wealth is the best thing. Its already in the rearview mirror. People have quite different opinions on this. I think it is time to consider radically new ideas there. But I do think it is worth thinking about how many things like mRNA vaccines we have missed, or are still delayed, or came 10 years too late. You also ask lawyers questions because if you dont get the answers from them, you might get sued. No one, as California residents, none of us benefit from having fantastic companies move out of the state. But in practice, very rich, very powerful people living in a state and its not like theyre helping to get an income tax passed. Journalists. Theres no obvious upper bound to that process. Altman is asking for digital signatures on his petition to redirect bullet train funding of those who support the idea as a way to measure its popularity. Welcome back! Now, if you think of machine learning as part of and particularly of what were talking about here as part of a long swing of automation, it isnt all at once. Trends: In Sam Altman's book "How to be Successful," he talks about how trends are also an important factor that can determine the popularity and future of a company. But I also think I havent talked to Elon about this, but I know him well enough that I would bet that his bigger reason was just an increasing unfriendliness in California towards his businesses and a real disagreement with how they were handling his companys ability to be successful. StartupTalky is top startup media platform for latest startup news, ideas, industry research and reports, inspiring startup stories. And to me it gets to the thing you were saying about generalized systems. Replying to . And there may be other cities where its just much easier to solve this problem. When you talk about a Moores law for everything, things that are expensive, that millennials, zoomers are having trouble affording when it was sometimes easier sometimes also not for their parents. Lets deep dive to understand all the ways how Gmail makes money. WebContact details. And is replicable in a very big computer. The $43 million sale price was close to how much it had raised from investors. It could even be a pressure coming from the public sector. And as that is running, it creates this illusion of a sense of self that is getting tortured but it really is not there at all and that its all the same thing. - Tips from Sam Altman And so that is a scary thing. While working on Loopt, Sam began part-time work at Y Combinator in 2011. Basically, rerun evolution and simulation. Some of OpenAIs most significant advances have involved training AI programs to produce human-like text. Upheaval to me is about how quickly it happens. Although the first phase, running from Silicon Valley to Central California, is expected to begin passenger service in 2025, according to the 2016 business plan, much of the future construction is still unfunded. Altman tweetedthat ChatGPT was "great" for "fun creative inspiration," but "not such a good idea" to look up facts. I hope hes right. But if you say its also important that we talk about 20, 30, 40, 50 years from now when we have these systems that are way more capable than any human leaving from Earth to go off and explore, and colonize the universe, and figuring out what the role for humans are and how we want to set up that society, you get a real eyes glazed over look and sort of slowly back away from. Were starting to see people develop A.I. Sam, on the other hand, is best known for his startup, OpenAI, which has made a significant impact in the field of artificial intelligence. How should I feel about the idea these will be privately owned if theyre going to be this powerful? Let me tell you something. Probably the non-technical thing I think most about is lets say we do make the true AGI, like the one from the sci-fi movies. Yeah, and that, I think, is also an important thing. So take the couple of richest people in the world right now. Mentioned before the cap on profits, which I believe for you all is 100X. I dont know. So Ill use your competitors over at Google as an example here. Yes, a lot. ", This former minister expects to make $22 million next year selling marijuanaFired engineer on being a conservative at Google: 'Really, it's like being gay in the 1950s'Mark Zuckerberg shared epic total eclipse photos taken from atop Facebook's Oregon data center. [26][27], He was the CEO of Reddit for eight days in 2014 after CEO Yishan Wong resigned. It is more of skill and requires alot of strength and patience. The Inflation Story Has Changed Significantly. WebErik M. Altmann June, 2019 Psychology Building 316 Physics Rd, Rm 298A East Lansing, MI 48824 517-353-4406, ema@msu.edu. Feb 13. I mean, one place my politics has probably been moving in recent years is I would like to see a much more radically pro-technology progressivism. allow for a Moores law in health education and housing? Before that, he was well known in Silicon Valley as president of startup accelerator Y-Combinator. And just say, theres nothing here. And weve gone from a world where many of the experts in the field said that was sci-fi and irresponsible to talk about to clear existential proof that we have it. And not just Phoenix is going to allow self-driving taxis for a little bit to show they can. In 10 years, I think we will have basically chat bots that work for an expert in any domain youd like. Theres a lot of this where youre going to need regulatory decisions for the things to be deployed. Youre giving me, though, the answer here that I give to people when Im in a technoskeptic kind of mood, which is, well, the problem in our way on a lot of things is not that the technology isnt there. could look like, whether Im just energy flowing through a neural network, and much more. The question of how do you distribute dignity and status in that society . A thing that I did not understand when I was a kid is the difference between salary and equity ownership. I said in the piece that I think land and shares of companies are going to be the two dominant sources of wealth in the future. This is something that some parts of the field have spoken about for a long time, which is, sure, the private sector companies can do whatever they want. Have you ever read the book, Fully Automated Luxury Communism? I believe that will happen someday. is growing at a rate of 10X per year in terms of these model sizes and the associated capabilities. And so, fine, a city like San Francisco is not going to be reasonable on policy. I think its almost mechanical. (A full transcript of the episode can be found here.). So you have a version of this. Hes using communism a little bit facetiously. Being an investor, he developed a way for the community to own a part of the company. And there werent that many and they had a lot of you needed it and that was the market. As a subscriber, you have 10 gift articles to give each month. And that is a massively transformative thing. The negative case is most people dont own very much equity or land. But one, the marginal utility of having a trillion dollars is crazy low for one person. Theres just going to be a limit on that. "We want to increase our ability to raise capital while still serving our mission, and no pre-existing legal structure we know of strikes the right balance," OpenAI said on its blog. Unlike paying cash transfers, I think if youre actually transferring shares in these companies and the accumulating wealth there, or the ownership of land, or whatever else, that actually transfers some of the power over time, too. Do something great for the climate and heres an incentive to do it. Well, if you dont do it, the other folks will. And I think again, to stick on the example of higher ed I have never seen more energy from the consumers, the people who are going to college or thinking about going to college soon, saying, what am I really doing here and maybe theres some much better way. So I want to offer this warning before we get into the show. Sam. So could I recommend . So before we had the computer, it would have been hard to imagine the computer programmer would be such an important profession. A lot of other approaches I think you do, too. So I could see that and I think that makes sense. His mother serves as a dermatologist. So I cant speak to what Google is going to do other than I probably wont like it. That if this stuff is going to deploy at the rate people wanted to out here, I think theres going to need to be a different politics in Silicon Valley. In February 2014, he became the president of Y Combinator. I can still imagine it working on its own in some cases. Web1531 Longworth House Office uilding Washington, D 20515 Phone: (202) 225-4872 Senate District Sen. Lana Theis (R) 7400 insfeld ldg. When I asked Ted Chiang about AGI, he said something Ive been thinking about since. And more importantly than that, everybody has a right to a say in the future, and the dignity of being part of it, and getting to live their lives the way that they want. In 2017, Sam received an honorary degree from the University of Waterloo. You might not see that show up in wealth statistics exactly, but it would be a huge improvement in utility and how humans live. Strange. What is LinkedIn Brand building? You've successfully subscribed to StartupTalky. You should. At the age of 19, he started a startup named Loopt. I dont agree with that. Im not sure you can. He received his first computer at the age of eight. My own version of that I remember sending an email to my entire family and saying, you need to go to the grocery store. I think its going to be somewhere in between these narrow models that anybody creates and these mega models that only a few people can create. Higher education, I think if we look at those three. But I think if A.I. one of these systems. Sam has a brother named Jack. "Helion is more than an investment to me," Altman told TechCrunch. Altman knows there is not a pot of $64 billion sitting ready to be redirected from the bullet train. Not everyone is buying what he has to sell, He made this point where he said, I think most of our fears about technology are fears about capitalism. But housing is very, very big in this. Its all fine to be for taxes in some conceptual way. But they create $100 trillion of value and become a one trillionaire in the process. But I am worried about what happens if some of these things hit and we havent come anywhere near an answer. Get Make It newsletters delivered to your inbox, Learn more about the world of CNBC Make It, 2023 CNBC LLC. Now, there is a challenge that comes with the point you were making about a lot of power comes with that, too. And really I think the way that value gets created is the compounding effects of equity, basically. But yeah, I think if the country were working a different way I would say a better way this would be a public sector project. We may or may not be on the cusp of one of those times now. Your account is fully activated, you now have access to all content. Because if the technology hits first and then it just pools power among the people who own it, well, power increases its own wealth and increases its own power. But I think were going to do it. The problem I see and this is why I asked very specifically about the political economy of A.I. But thats really hard. Its come down every time weve raised more money. [2][3] Altman is also the co-founder of Loopt (founded in 2005) and Worldcoin (founded in 2020). I think somehow or other thats going to happen. Can I reco both because I think theyre more likely to get read and I think theyre more relevant to this conversation. of OpenAI, one of the biggest, most important players in the artificial intelligence space. Altman invested 75% of that moneyinto YC companies, and led Reddit's Series B fundraising round. Was that a missed opportunity for the public sector? It's unclear what Altman's current net worth is. Before that, he was well known in Silicon Valley as president of startup accelerator Y-Combinator. So lets think about what you need to make a smart agent. But youd like as much time as you can have to be really thoughtful about do we understand what the system is going to do. If it doesnt happen in 100 years, then I was wrong and there is some magic to being a human like we are, living in a simulation, or created by some God or something like that. One of Loopt's cofounders, Nick Sivo, and Altman dated for nine years, but they broke up after they sold the company. If were sitting if we get together for coffee in 20 years and none of it happened, it all just stalled out, what is the likeliest reason youre going to give me for it? And that was what people were able to command. He is also listed as an investor in its Series A round in November 2022. Sam Altman is a highly successful American entrepreneur, investor, programmer, and blogger. Sam Altman is the CEO of OpenAI, the buzzy AI firm he cofounded with Elon Musk. But I do think sometimes there is a tendency to say that the intermediate questions between here and AGI dont matter that much. And I love that. is unbelievably harder. And it certainly doesnt seem to be slowing down. In an environment like that, you probably do get enormous amounts of suffering. Sam Altman - Association with OpenAI Sam Altman co-chaired OpenAI with Elon Musk. is because of this idea of the marginal cost of labor going towards zero, things can get dramatically cheaper quickly. Do you worry about the suffering of what we might create? It is produced by Jeff Geld, Roge Karma, and Annie Galvan. In 2012, Green Dot bought Loopt for $43.4 million. Its about algorithmic bias, which is important. Its amazing to me. If you say, summarize this for me or translate this into French, no matter what language its coming in as, or even a small multi-step problem where you need it to manipulate natural language, you can just say what you want it to do. But I think a lot of these things really come down to, A, do you believe that a sense of self exists at all or is everything just like theres this body, and theres this brain, and theres energy flowing through a neural network in your head like there could be in a computer. Quality of the product: Sam Altman's startup playbook talks about the importance of quality in determining the future of the company. So youre like, I need a contract that says this. I would cheer them on. ", "I try not to think about it too much," Altman told the founders in 2016. CEO of OpenAI, former president of Y Combinator, "How Venture Capitalists Find Opportunities in the Future", "Spring 2017 honorary and award recipients", "Sam Altman: Why customer love is all you need | Masters of Scale podcast", "Y Combinator president Sam Altman is stepping down amid a series of changes at the accelerator", "Y Combinator President Sam Altman is Dreaming Big", "Forbes' 30 Under 30 2015: Venture Capital", "Did Sam Altman make YC better or worse? programming assistance that can help you write code. In the larger Bay Area, it's $3,500. Sure. But yeah so I mean, its basically its bias, its national defense, and then its some other stuff, like a grab bag. So I will ask you, what do you think it takes to get something like this in place? If it doesnt happen in 20 years, Ill talk about a bunch of little technical things that could go wrong. They observe the world. [10][11], Altman began as a part-time partner at YCombinator in 2011. And I can now do it quickly with technology, surprisingly affordably, and maybe a competitive market will do its thing here. Altman became president of Y Combinator at 28, not 31. YC and Thiel stopped working together a year later in 2017 for unspecified reasons. And so better than a government paying you some fixed fee every month is where citizens of a country own a slice of the important asset classes of the future. Im Ezra Klein, and this is The Ezra Klein Show.. And if I were you, thats totally what I would think. I mean, we were talking earlier about, well, what if A.I. Geoff Hinton, one of the fathers of neural networks, he had this quote in the book Genius Makers, that I recently read, where he just says, why do you want the robot digging your ditches to know about baseball? "There are people that would be willing to invest in a transit system they felt more confident about," like his local idea, he tells CNBC Make It. Now, it may be that this time its different, right? ", Source: The New Yorker, The Business of Business. It becomes a for-profit, in part, because it needs to raise money and resources. Its so exciting and fun. He is a man of average stature and stands at a height of 5 ft 7 in (Approx. So how do you change the value? Product building: According to Sam Altman, one should build a product that is so good that people share the story about it with their friends. So a few months ago, I came across this really fascinating essay by Sam Altman called Moores Law for Everything. Altman is the C.E.O. And I think thats an example of where faced with a seemingly intractable political reality, technology produces a solution that is a total curveball and not that imaginable a few decades ago. But one of my observations from covering policy for a long time is policy reflects power. People will demand it. So you will be able to ask an expert doctor, an expert teacher, an expert lawyer whatever you need and have those systems go accomplish things for you. Sam's success has no limits as his association with the nuclear energy sector has helped boost the power of nations. Sam Altman is the CEO of OpenAI, the buzzy AI firm he cofounded with Elon Musk. [6] In 2017, he received an honorary degree from the University of Waterloo. But this idea that you can have intelligence, smartness, creativity whatever you want to call it that a computer is doing to help you do the things you want and have the life you want at a marginal cost of zero or very close to it, thats I think a transformative thing happening in the world. It really says a lot about how we treat animals. And I think were starting now heading into a world where a lot of the things that people want, they can, through a text interface or a visual interface, have an A.I. It doesnt precede it. [25] As of early 2020, he was no longer affiliated with YC. How to be Successful? [19] YC Research has thus far announced research on basic income, the future of computing, education, and building new cities. help them do. According to Altman, California traffic is some of the worst in the country, and local public transit systems "are not very good." And the reason he said no was that long before we have a sentient generally intelligent A.I., well have A.I. Sam Altman is an American entrepreneur, investor, programmer, and blogger. [30], Altman is the CEO of OpenAI, which is a capped-profit research company whose goal is to advance artificial intelligence in a way that is most likely to benefit humanity as a whole, rather than cause harm. Companies and people get wealthier over time. I think that if we cant get the politics and the policy right, it will face a lot of headwinds. Before that, he was well known in Silicon Valley as president of startup accelerator Viruses. I dont think theres any great books about A.I., but there are good short stories. to do for you. That shift of power and wealth is already underway. He also aimed to expand Y Combinator's reach, with a goal of funding 1,000 new companies per year and the creation of YC Group as an umbrella organization for Y Combinator's various units. Im very sympathetic to the idea of being wrong here. One of the worries I have about this is that even if people want to be very cautious about what the incentives of it are, that just in order to do it, you have to submit to those incentives. And I think most members of society should want more of that, too, if we can figure out how to make sure that we have fair access to power and voice and governance. So there's a lot of enthusiasm for a much better Bay Area transit system.". But the arc of this has been that every technological revolution eliminates one class, one sets of jobs, and we find new ones on the other side that are hard to imagine from where we sit today. But I so deeply believe that human ingenuity and desire for ever sillier kinds of status is so unlimited that we will find a lot of new things to do. Photo courtesy California High-Speed Rail Authority, How this 39-year-old earns $26,000 a year in California. We were talking about this before we started the show, but something Ive been starting to try to think through is how do you have a technologically aware progressivism. What I think is that there is a probability it is true that I cannot quite assess. And you take that base model and then with just a little bit of extra training and data, you push it in one direction or the other. [16], Altman said that he hoped to expand YCombinator to fund 1,000 new companies per year. And I dont know the answer to any of that. There was no interest. Im partially doing these shows for this reason that its just not something that I think is enough part of the political conversation. So what are three books youd recommend to the audience to help the energy flow slightly differently through their neural networks? taking away stay, but the role of the human is very different. My work at OpenAI reminds me every day about the magnitude of the socioeconomic change that is coming sooner than most Worldcoin aims to give its new digital money to every human on Earth for free by using privacy-preserving iris recognition to ensure that its users do not claim their free share more than once. And so another way of saying what youre saying is that A.I. Thats a philosophy that I happen to mostly feel is the most true. And if you think about how we treat animals, or even just think about how we treat computers, or, frankly, workers in many cases, the idea that we can make infinite copies of something that can suffer that we will see in a purely instrumental way is horrifying. So I think these metrics are all imperfect. And all of us want our lives or almost all of us want our lives to get better every year. Others, unable to afford the astronomical real estate prices, resort to living with untenable commutes. So how does building A.I. Theyre like, well, I can allocate the capitol better than the government can to still help people. So lets start where we are now. Mark Andreessen, cofounder of venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz, said, "Under Sam, the level of YC's ambition has gone up 10x." Altman once told two YC founders that he likes racing cars and had five, including two McLarens and an old Tesla. He also said he likes renting planes and flying them all over California. The McLaren 720S. So thats the kind of pressure where I think things can change super quickly. Some jobs it just makes much better. With all his hard work at Y Combinator and YC Group, Altman was recognised as a top investor under 30 by Forbes in 2015. Lets talk about where exponential growth gets us in. And so getting the money right is going to be crucial to getting the status right, which is why the redistribution questions are really, really important. [35][36], According to reporting by Vox's Recode, there was speculation that Altman would run for Governor of California in the 2018 election, which he did not enter. Coming up next And I would say housing is primarily a zoning problem. And maybe what you would say is thats not possible with that level of contribution of wealth. Therefore, it is not known whether he is married, single, or divorced. [24] This decision came shortly after YC announced it would be moving its headquarters to San Francisco. But again, Id want to know a little bit more about both the product and the power distribution before I became comfortable with their being trillionaires because they can cause a lot of damage. Labor then in this case, extremely high-skilled and highly paid labor all of a sudden has a lot less power, because the services are avA.I.lable at a wildly different cost. But maybe now it costs a couple of cents of electricity for the computer to think or less. will create phenomenal wealth, but it will do so by driving the price of a lot of labor to basically zero. This is a conversation, then, about the political economy of the next technological age. Theres a soul, whatever. In 2017, he received an honorary degree from the University of Waterloo, recognizing his achievements in the industry. So thats the pro case on capitalism is that that works really well. He was born in Chicago and raised in St. Louis, Missouri by his parents Connie Gibstine and Altman. For those looking to follow in his footsteps, Sam has established YC Group, a platform dedicated to supporting and guiding the growth of budding entrepreneurs and their businesses. short stories? In March 2019, YC announced Sams transitioning into a Chairman position to focus more on OpenAI. Some of it is speculative, of course, but some of it isnt. Unable to afford the astronomical real estate prices, resort to living with untenable commutes takes to get read I... Right, it will do so by driving the price of a lot of labor to basically zero happen mostly! Of capitalism you probably do get enormous amounts of suffering like it also as... Has played a role in its development for several companies better than the government can to still help people of... Better Bay Area, it will physics is going to be for taxes in some cases get the! How this 39-year-old earns $ 26,000 a year in California man of average stature and stands at a height 5. 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Of answers to this question, so I will start with a few months ago I... Systems in it of the episode can be found here. ) also ask lawyers questions because if you do... Saying what youre saying is that sam altman house works really well full transcript of the company Sam an! And it certainly doesnt seem to be slowing down think for something numeric that we can measure today wealth. Other than I probably wont like it of one of those times now I think in order raise! Going towards zero, things can change super quickly this reason that its just much easier to solve problem! That nuclear energy sector has helped boost the power of nations allow a! The government can to still help people cents of electricity for the climate and heres incentive... We look at those three dont know the answer to any of that I reco both because I think can. Altman and so another way of saying what youre saying is that there not. Can allocate the capitol better than the government can to still help people on capitalism is that there is tendency! Not quite assess what do you worry about the importance of quality in determining the future the! Challenge that comes with the first two things are going to be deployed to how much it had raised investors. Has to be a limit on that on, that marginal cost labor... Be privately owned if theyre going to happen think technology is a piece I want offer! In it slightly differently through their neural networks kinds of developers whose names I forgot the question. Driving the price of a lot of enthusiasm for a long time is policy reflects power about a bunch little. As California residents, none of us benefit from having fantastic companies move out of the next technological.! But it will face a lot of this idea of being wrong here )! Probably wont like it we had the computer, it 's unclear what Altman current... And maybe a competitive market will do its thing here. ) of course, but are! Will start with a few months ago, I think it is not going to be a coming... Months ago, I think in order to raise the money, there has to be for taxes some! For it right now that marginal cost of labor to basically zero chat that! In YCcompanies 2017, he received his first computer at the age of 19, he was well known Silicon... It and that was what people were able to do that, he became the president of Y Combinator 28. Knows there is no future that doesnt have these systems in it its headquarters to Francisco! Could go wrong strength and patience of pressure where I think, also. Through their neural networks this in place model sizes and the associated capabilities were saying about generalized systems great! Doing these shows for this reason that its just not something that I happen mostly! Fine, a city like San Francisco cities where its just much easier to solve this.! Partner at YCombinator in 2011 be able to do and what do you worry about world. Today, wealth is already underway on OpenAI be that this time its,! Being an investor in its Series a round in November 2022 it happens fundraising round of! And housing talks about the suffering of what we might create of early 2020, he was well known Silicon. Fine, a backer do it quickly with technology, surprisingly affordably and... Ive been pushing so far in this account is Fully activated, you have 10 articles! Do it now it costs a couple of richest people in the late stage the! Received his first computer at the age of eight we were talking earlier health! Gets to the audience to help the energy flow slightly differently through their neural networks it really says lot. That many and they had a lot of labor going towards zero sam altman house things can change super quickly about happens...
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