What's the difference between a power rail and a signal line? I've been asked to estimate jobs in every conceivable way. Adjust the estimation settings as you desire. The swag technique can be used for a variety of different projects, from small tasks to large-scale initiatives. What tool to use for the online analogue of "writing lecture notes on a blackboard"? I have worked with many developers and development managers who are very reluctant to give an estimate with such limited information and limited time. What factors changed the Ukrainians' belief in the possibility of a full-scale invasion between Dec 2021 and Feb 2022? Sometimes quality is non-negotiable, as in the case of company-wide SLAs/SLOs, or compliance requirements. To learn more, see our tips on writing great answers. Is Koestler's The Sleepwalkers still well regarded? The project's manager uses this figure to create an accurate quote for a client and decide whether or not there are . Sometimes, though, its less important that an estimate be accurate than that it be quick. There are a lot of unknowns here For most Django sites, itll take a week or two, or a month at most. Another situation I recommend avoiding SWAG estimates are ones with what Ive come to think of as Iron Triangle constraints.. SWAG is used to describe an estimate derived from a combination of factors including past experience, general impressions, and heuristic or approximate calculations rather than an exhaustive search, proof, or rigorous calculation. You could use this approach with t-shirt sizes for the component deliverables. Is something's right to be free more important than the best interest for its own species according to deontology? If the customer is obviously uncomfortable with the idea that a task could be a 50 day effort then don't give into the temptation to sell it as a 15 day effort without nailing down the scope of work to something that fits well within a 15 day effort. Based on the analysis above, we proceed with creating the action plan. As you learned earlier, project managers are expected by customers and stakeholders to deliver a definitive and functional cost estimate in a timely manner. The best answers are voted up and rise to the top, Not the answer you're looking for? Estimating the time and resources required for a project is essential for its success, but it is also notoriously difficult to get right.if(typeof ez_ad_units!='undefined'){ez_ad_units.push([[300,250],'pm_training_net-narrow-sky-2','ezslot_16',140,'0','0'])};__ez_fad_position('div-gpt-ad-pm_training_net-narrow-sky-2-0');if(typeof ez_ad_units!='undefined'){ez_ad_units.push([[300,250],'pm_training_net-narrow-sky-2','ezslot_17',140,'0','1'])};__ez_fad_position('div-gpt-ad-pm_training_net-narrow-sky-2-0_1');.narrow-sky-2-multi-140{border:none!important;display:block!important;float:none!important;line-height:0;margin-bottom:7px!important;margin-left:auto!important;margin-right:auto!important;margin-top:7px!important;max-width:100%!important;min-height:250px;padding:0;text-align:center!important}. 107 popular meanings of SWAG abbreviation: 50 Categories. Project Management Stack Exchange is a question and answer site for project managers. What is the purpose of this D-shaped ring at the base of the tongue on my hiking boots? Align priorities. but serving clients across the London and South East Region, we are fully committed to improving the lives of construction workers across the UK. Optionally, you provide a 'best-guess' estimate that falls somewhere in between. We then turn these calculations into a SWAG, or Scientific Wild Assed Guess. Although raising one child may provide experience, it does not guarantee success with the next child. This estimate will be based on a number of factors such as if(typeof ez_ad_units!='undefined'){ez_ad_units.push([[300,250],'pm_training_net-netboard-1','ezslot_20',114,'0','0'])};__ez_fad_position('div-gpt-ad-pm_training_net-netboard-1-0'); The difficulty in time estimation occurs due to the fact that each team has its own definition of what a point means. as in example? take about 5 days to do. . Is Koestler's The Sleepwalkers still well regarded? This form of estimate can make it difficult to manage customer expectations, a 15 day effort is very different from a 50 day effort, and the customer can green light a SWAG under the optimistic assumption. Rank by Priority. To subscribe to this RSS feed, copy and paste this URL into your RSS reader. Its an inherent problem with high level estimates. Make a provision for design and feature changes: Something like, "As we learn more about the application, new requirements emerge. What does a search warrant actually look like? This is the most time-consuming process to estimate costs in project management. Chapter 7 Project Cost Management MCQ multiple choice 31. which process involves developing an approximation of the costs of resources needed to complete Skip to document Ask an Expert Sign inRegister Sign inRegister Home Ask an ExpertNew My Library Discovery Institutions University of Massachusetts Lowell Silver Creek High School (Colorado) Rather, if youd literally just be guessing, thats not a situation where you should be making a SWAG. In other words: obviously, guesstimation is something between guess and estimate. Project cost estimating is when a project manager predicts how much a project will cost to complete by calculating time, resources, and other expenses. Whichever methods you choose, bear these basic rules in mind: To begin with, estimate the time needed for each task rather than for the project as a whole. That is why you need our ever-reliable free-standing Weisshorn King Single Swag. An exception is if youre trying to communicate that something is stupendously time-consuming, where you might say something like thatll take years to try to hammer home the scope. Ive explored estimates are important in software projects, and shared my technique for producing an accurate estimate. And in future, how could our company do things better? if you questions means to estimate the amount of work that will be needed to perform a task, you should discuss this with the people who will be doing the task, normally the team leader. As it is a rough estimate, it can be easily given by a specialist based on their expertise and previous perception of similar projects. Ten months is 90 percent confidence.". In this method, managers estimate costs from an overall project perspective, without going too much into details. We've outlined a variety of methods below to help you do this. Indeed, the next child may require an entirely different approach from the previous one. Personally, I like to give the customer the best understanding of progress as I can. SWAG Meaning. Some people may try to tell you that this is incompatible with agile methodologies but that's really not the case. Make design and feature choice recommendations that, if accepted, will save money from the high estimates. SME ServiceNow platform.<br><br><br> Provide domain, architecture, and the technical aspects of projects to the clients. I support a large enterprise software project which frequently receives enhancement requests from our customer. Topic 1: Project Costs How do you estimate project costs? By doing a Work Breaking Down process you can turn them into high-level components and estimate each part of it by a standard or knowledgeable approach. How to determine SWAG estimate for development project before having a team, Applications of super-mathematics to non-super mathematics. Timing and coordination become serious concerns. Level of effort activities can't be late and it is to a project manager's advantage to officially record such activities on a project schedule. In project management, there are three levels of estimating: WAG, SWAG, and "you bet your job on this figure" estimates. Dot product of vector with camera's local positive x-axis? Construction Management: Project Delivery Methods LinkedIn Issued Feb 2023. It's to be willing to walk away. We're developers, not project managers, and there is no Project Owner as our company is in pre-sales on this project and wants to give the prospective client a loose number. If Im asked about, say, adding a new field to a Django model, Im completely comfortable saying itll take less than a day without knowing details. How to estimate a project budget using story points? By clicking Post Your Answer, you agree to our terms of service, privacy policy and cookie policy. an estimate of 3-8 days to do it. Now how much longer are you willing to waste time on it before you're sick of this and want to try doing anything else? Jul 2018 - Oct 20213 years 4 months. -Who is accountable for the accuracy of the estimate? The following are . Designed to create a sustainable development pace and provide more realistic deadline expectations for stakeholders, agile estimation techniques use relative sizing rather than predicting real-time estimates. ProjectManager is a project management software that has features to help create a more accurate project cost estimate. here are some ways I can help. But, if you save some money later everyone will be happy. It's generally not something most of the team sees, however, and much of Agile has become simply a cargo-cult process. Every customer has a budget and wants a max out of it the problem begins when he has no clue what his needs are or his wishes are unrealistic. For those of you trying to figure out what this question has to do with T-shirts, coffee cups, swagger or curtains, the context here is ". Not after 15 days. When estimating the cost of a software project, there are a few key components that must be considered in order to get an accurate estimate.These components includeCost of materialsCost of LaborCost of OverheadIt includes the cost of any software licenses that may be required, as well as the cost of any hardware that will be used in the projectThis includes the salaries of any developers who will be working on the project, as well as the cost of any other support staff that may be requiredThe cost of overhead includes the cost of office space, internet access, and any other indirect costs that may be associated with the project. Pert Chart Definition. This can be recalculated after every milestone. Now you have to estimate the effort it is going to take to complete them, and for that, you can use these three ways: Sort into Categories. These estimation techniques allow PMs to provide better forecasts to . Learn more about Stack Overflow the company, and our products. Project Budgets and Cost Estimates Control and Keep Projects Organized The task of creating a budget is just a part of the equation. On large projects, keeping track of thousands of data points becomes impossible. (2) Buildxact is an easy-to-use estimating and construction management software designed for managing estimates, purchasing, and scheduling from your phone or in the office. Handle the same project over multiple platforms in Agile. Asking for help, clarification, or responding to other answers. Project estimation techniques are tools that help project managers forecast cost, time and other variables as they relate to a forthcoming project. guesswork or conjecture. in any specific time frame. If youve said something like yes thatll be done in time to present at the conference, you better go back and make a proper estimate to confirm your SWAG. Making statements based on opinion; back them up with references or personal experience. The question is: How much will this project cost? There is a recipe. In the second category, you manage changes related to product scope, which is known as configuration management. If after the first day on a 15 day job it becomes clear it's going to be a 40 day job you the report this then. Most problems arise when the customer identifies some feature that he needs tomorrow. Q: Provide scenarios when it would be appropriate to provide ROM, budgeted, and final cost estimates A: Rough order of magnitude (ROM) estimates estimate project costs. These areas include, but are not limited to: Project Management, Preconstruction, and Production. Construction Estimating: RSMeans and Cost Data Fieldwire: Construction Field Management if you are still interested. 6.4.2.5, ch. Phew! I know the recipe, and know that the odds of being wrong are vanishingly low. If the customer approves of a SWAG estimate, we can feel obliged . Such numbers are always fuzzy. Stack Exchange network consists of 181 Q&A communities including Stack Overflow, the largest, most trusted online community for developers to learn, share their knowledge, and build their careers. for 40 days, 50% confident for 70 days and 55% confident for 80 days). many compliance regimes), or similar situations where the complete TODO list isnt known until some external party provides it to you, Projects with many stakeholders, especially ones that are somehow external to the project. complete information, or, more strongly, as an estimate arrived at by Browse other questions tagged, Start here for a quick overview of the site, Detailed answers to any questions you might have, Discuss the workings and policies of this site. -Who is responsible for the accuracy of the estimate? As for communicating a SWAG estimate you've already taken care of one of the biggest sources of misunderstandings. Sometimes the SWAG estimate is expected to be at the high end of a range. From your company-managed board, select more ( ) in the upper right corner of the board > Board settings. cost estimates, WBS, and project schedule. Sometimes the SWAG estimate is expected to be at the high end of a range. Sometimes the SWAG estimate is expected to be at the high end of a range. rev2023.3.1.43269. By expressing time durations as jobs that are small, medium, large, and very large you prevent the perception that you said it'd be done in exactly 50 days. For example, take adding SAML authentication to a Django site. Then I would tell someone something like this: And that might get told to the client like this: So we've looked briefly into doing feature X for you. (I'm not affiliated with this book in any way, I just like it.). Use rough terminology: Something like, "With a team of 3 full-time developers, one full-time tester and half-time designer, Scrum Master and Product Owner shared with another team, we can deliver a minimum functional release in 2 quarters. We look forward to. Similarly, Id avoid any estimate longer than a couple of quarters thats just too long a timeline to have any degree of certainty about. I think a better estimate would be giving those ranges outright. The best answers are voted up and rise to the top, Not the answer you're looking for? And being explicit about your uncertainty keeps others from making assumptions about that. ncorrect cost estimates can negatively impact project schedules. Even more importantly, the client won't invest the time to give you more detailed requirements if the order-of-magnitude cost is not within the range of the potential returns. SWAG stands for Scientific Wild-ass Guess. How did Dominion legally obtain text messages from Fox News hosts? -What is the estimate you are providing being used for? We think it might even take as long as 120 days. You might get resistance if you mention that since this is associated with waterfall and PMI. If you are planning a project, this tool can help you to estimate the resources you will need and the time it will take to complete the project.if(typeof ez_ad_units!='undefined'){ez_ad_units.push([[250,250],'pm_training_net-large-mobile-banner-1','ezslot_2',108,'0','0'])};__ez_fad_position('div-gpt-ad-pm_training_net-large-mobile-banner-1-0'); In project management, time can be money, and it is essential to have an accurate estimate of the time required to complete a project in order to avoid any unforeseen delays or cost overruns. Although PERT FORMULA is more accurate than SWAG estimate, it can be more time-consuming. Site design / logo 2023 Stack Exchange Inc; user contributions licensed under CC BY-SA. Remember its an estimate, not a commitment. According to your expertise and knowledge, you can easily sum up all the components and estimate the time depending on your team size and their skills. We have been given a one-page requirements document, have extrapolated some coarse user stories, and a coarse flow doc. In your case must everything be hard defined so you have to define milestones. How do project managers do this? Now that we have a clear understanding of what SWAG is, we can begin to answer the question of how it is estimated in project management with an agile project.if(typeof ez_ad_units!='undefined'){ez_ad_units.push([[300,600],'pm_training_net-banner-1','ezslot_13',130,'0','0'])};__ez_fad_position('div-gpt-ad-pm_training_net-banner-1-0'); Swag estimate in agile is a discussing topic for many agile teams. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. At its most pithy, the Iron Triangle can be summarized as: (In practice, sometimes any two is optimistic sometimes you can only pick one!). I wish I could have accepted this answer as well. Usually when I'm communicating with someone about estimates, whether they are SWAGs or more detailed analysis estimates I'll try to express and emphasize the uncertainty in the estimate. Does Cast a Spell make you a spellcaster? you're looking to contact me, Stack Exchange network consists of 181 Q&A communities including Stack Overflow, the largest, most trusted online community for developers to learn, share their knowledge, and build their careers. There is no silver bullet. Extreme Programming (XP) and Scrum are commonly . It shows that there is a range of times something could take. The number of distinct words in a sentence. The main reason is even if the people asking for such an estimation understand the risks and give an assurance that it will be used carefully, when they pass those numbers on to others, they often tend to be misinterpreted as a fixed price delivery commitment. For what its worth! It is better to know what the offers are from other competitors so that the team could provide the winning proposal. Was Galileo expecting to see so many stars? An estimate is our best guess for what can be achieved and by when. Software Estimation Is Hard. For example, you GUESS it takes 6 months to develop this software and you GUESS it may cost 2,000 to complete the project. Sample is as following: Usually the time frame could in line with each quarter pending on the deliver cycle of the team. She is currently working as a Multimedia Creative while pursuing art certificates in known universities like Harvard University and Cambridge University. When something goes wrong on an unconstrained project, youve got options spend money to meet the timeline; cut features to save the budget; extend the timeline to meet requirements. Another way to estimate the cost of a project is by using a definitive estimate. Is it better to use use ranges on a per case basis, rather than the fixed ranges that I have noted? What if you dont have a team and you really need to estimate your project quickly? Resource allocation estimates tend to be . "PMP", "PMBOK", "PMI-ACP" and "PMI" are registered marks of the Project Management Institute, Inc. Is a SWAG Estimate Agile in project management? Parametric EstimationB. If we move up a range then there are usually additional billing discussions which are painful, slow, and lacking guarantees for compensation. The PERT formula takes into account the three main variables that can impact the timelines of a project: To calculate the PERT estimate, you first need to find the average of the optimistic and pessimistic estimates. Then you lay out and dependencies and using a well-known algorithm, you can come up with an overall estimate with a confidence level for the entire bundle. Which of the following is NOT a tool or technique used in Estimate Activity Durations? I am a certified project manager (PMP) - Please let me know if you have any questions about project management that are not explained on this site! Thanks to i-tag Promotions Inc. for another great order. You are doing guesstimation. This is What Scrum Says About Estimates. Using A Project Management Dashboard To Calculate SV Although the calculation is simple, it can rapidly become a tedious task to crunch the numbers by hand, considering the calculations should be re-crunched every day as the project changes. The detailed estimates are time consuming and we are only compensated for the estimation time when they sign off on the enhancement, so the SWAG estimate provides a level of protection for us. Some of the kinds of projects that are likely to be complex and trigger this oh crap feeling for me are: This isnt an exhaustive list; merely the kinds of projects Ive seen go sideways in the past, and thus deserving of a legit estimate instead of an off-the-cuff one. Let's say your project is the construction of a 12,000 sq. All rights reserved. Most common SWAG abbreviation full forms updated in February 2023. However, this number sometimes can drive you to errors with resources and time. Id avoid any estimate under a few days unless youre sure its a simple task and youre highly confident in the timeline. SWAG is an acronym meaning Sophisticated Wild Ass Guess. There are three major components (backend, ios, android), each to be the responsibility of one developer with domain expertise. If the customer approves of a SWAG estimate, we can feel obliged to cap our detailed estimate at the high range of the SWAG. Try to get a sense of how well you're being understood. When I'm working a checklist on estimated work I encourage evidence based scheduling. How does the NLT translate in Romans 8:2? With the same accuracy ;-). What are the KEY components needed for a Swag estimation? As developers we are uncomfortable with giving numbers on such a limited foundation. You never have to make a SWAG its always appropriate to defer until youve had time to make a proper estimate but if you can make one, and know that itll be at least plausible, a SWAG can help cut through a complex debate and keep things moving. . In summary, agile is a project management philosophy that guides orientation on managing projects through key values and principles iteratively. But when one (or more) of those legs are constrained, a small problem can turn into a disaster quickly. . Some caution is advised here. SWAG EstimationA. Help me understand the context behind the "It's okay to be white" question in a recent Rasmussen Poll, and what if anything might these results show? Here you manage changes related to project management plans, processes, and baselines. Change requests are required when baselines are established and you have to make changes to them. But if the estimate is important, if thered be a problem, even a minor one, if you were wrong, you need to follow up. These estimation techniques allow for a more accurate forecast of key elements in every project and include cost, time, scope, risk, resource and quality. Accurate than SWAG estimate, it does not guarantee success with the next child non-negotiable as... In future, how could our company do things better as 120.! T-Shirt sizes for the component deliverables success with the swag estimate in project management child service privacy. Important in software projects, from small tasks to large-scale initiatives select more )... My technique for producing an accurate estimate save some money later everyone will be happy & gt ; settings. Winning proposal Issued Feb 2023 the construction of a range 's the difference between a power rail a. Clicking Post your answer, you Guess it may cost 2,000 to complete project... Learn more about Stack Overflow the company, and a signal line or Scientific Wild Assed Guess management: management. Writing great answers own species according to deontology Field management if swag estimate in project management save money. Help you do this the customer identifies some feature that he needs.! With domain expertise vanishingly low to complete the project Stack Exchange is a management... Cookie policy development managers who are very reluctant to give the customer the best interest for its species. Components needed for a SWAG estimate, it can be achieved and by.! Configuration management in the case, see our tips on writing great answers great answers team Applications! Which are painful, slow, and lacking guarantees for compensation Keep Organized. Competitors so that the team sees swag estimate in project management however, and lacking guarantees for.... Methodologies but that 's really not the answer you 're looking for components ( backend, ios, android,! I have noted story points help project managers forecast cost, time and other variables as they relate a. Of SWAG abbreviation full forms updated in February 2023 overall project perspective, without going too much into.! Been given a one-page requirements document, have extrapolated some coarse user stories, much. Summary, agile is a range of times something could take can achieved! Is an acronym meaning Sophisticated Wild Ass Guess of this D-shaped ring at the high end of a management! Approach with t-shirt sizes for the accuracy of the estimate you 've already taken of! Ranges on a blackboard '' team, Applications of super-mathematics to non-super mathematics times something take! Your RSS reader what 's the difference between a power rail and a coarse flow doc possibility of a then... Handle the same project over multiple platforms in agile ( ) in the.... 'S right to be the responsibility of one of the following is not a tool technique! Application, new requirements emerge the responsibility of one developer with domain expertise of thousands of data points impossible. Is expected to be free more important than the fixed ranges that I worked... Resistance if you are providing being swag estimate in project management for a limited foundation the upper right corner of the tongue on hiking. Be used for a variety of different projects, from small tasks to large-scale initiatives 55 confident. Android ), each to be the swag estimate in project management of one developer with expertise. Quot ; swag estimate in project management the next child may require an entirely different approach the... Like, `` as we learn more about the application, new requirements.! Factors changed the Ukrainians ' belief in the second category, you Guess it cost... And lacking guarantees for compensation variety of different projects, from small tasks to initiatives! Estimating: RSMeans and cost data Fieldwire: construction Field management if you dont have team... Rather than the fixed ranges that I have noted did Dominion legally obtain text messages from Fox News hosts complete... Projects, keeping track of thousands of data points becomes impossible copy and this! February 2023 basis, rather than the best understanding of progress as I can project management Stack Inc... Everything be hard defined so you have to define milestones thousands of points. Have noted let & # x27 ; s say your project is by using a estimate. Hiking boots here for most Django sites, itll take a week or two or... Is expected to be at the high estimates full-scale invasion between Dec 2021 Feb... The following is not a tool or technique used in estimate Activity Durations answer, agree... Estimated work I encourage evidence swag estimate in project management scheduling method, managers estimate costs from an overall project,! Answer site for project managers know that the odds of being wrong are vanishingly low the customer best., its less important that an estimate with such limited information and limited time more ( ) in the category. Relate to a Django site 107 popular meanings of SWAG abbreviation: 50 Categories 's really the..., slow, and know that the odds of being wrong are vanishingly.! This method, managers estimate costs in project management plans, processes, and much agile! And principles iteratively takes 6 months to develop this software and you Guess it cost... So you have to make changes to them rail and a signal?... Sample is as following: Usually the time frame could in line with each quarter pending on the cycle. Provide a 'best-guess ' estimate that falls somewhere in between few days unless youre its! Been given a one-page requirements document, have extrapolated some coarse user stories and. Exchange Inc ; user contributions licensed under CC BY-SA the application, new requirements emerge understanding progress. Be happy that 's really not the answer you 're looking for be quick service... You Guess it takes 6 months to develop this software and you have to define milestones as., or responding to other answers given a one-page requirements document, have extrapolated some coarse user stories, shared! Clarification, or responding to other answers agile methodologies but that 's really not the answer you 're being.! More, see our tips on writing great answers provide better forecasts to painful, slow, know... More, see our tips on writing great answers estimate that falls in! Large enterprise software project which frequently receives enhancement requests from our customer in known universities Harvard! Accurate estimate have extrapolated some coarse user stories, and shared my technique for producing an estimate... Any estimate under a few days unless youre sure its a simple task and youre confident... Construction of a range Organized the task of creating a budget is a! At most up a range then there are a lot of unknowns here for Django. Have accepted this answer as well and feature changes: something like, `` as we learn more the. Of `` writing lecture notes on a per case basis, rather than the fixed ranges I. It 's generally not something most of the team estimate Activity Durations as for communicating a SWAG estimation like... Answer, you agree to our terms of service, privacy policy and cookie.. Disaster quickly forecast cost, time and other variables as they relate a... Number sometimes can drive you to errors with resources and time costs project! 2021 and Feb 2022 into a SWAG estimation is accountable for the accuracy the. Affiliated with this book in any way, I like to give an estimate is expected be. Next child sites, itll take a week or two, or Scientific Wild Assed.. Difference between a power rail and a signal line Budgets and cost estimates Control and projects. Online analogue of `` writing lecture notes on a per case basis, rather than fixed! Accurate than SWAG estimate is expected to be at the high end of a range subscribe to RSS! ( backend, ios, android ), each to be at the base the... Simply a cargo-cult process two, or Scientific Wild Assed Guess ios, )! Still interested competitors so that swag estimate in project management odds of being wrong are vanishingly low into details turn a. Or Scientific Wild Assed Guess that an estimate be accurate than that be! Time and other variables as they relate to a forthcoming project company-managed board, select more ( ) in case! Task and youre highly confident in the upper right corner of the estimate as they relate to forthcoming. Get a sense of how well you 're looking for giving numbers such... Somewhere in between Multimedia Creative while pursuing art certificates in known universities like Harvard University and University. Component deliverables to this RSS feed, copy and paste this URL into RSS! Universities like Harvard University and Cambridge University service, privacy policy and cookie.! Definitive estimate ), each to be at the base of the estimate 50 Categories News?. Keeping track of thousands of data points becomes impossible an entirely different approach from the previous one time frame in... Could our company do things better ) in the timeline important in software projects, and know that the sees! Usually the time frame could in line with each quarter pending on the analysis above, we with. Will this project cost pursuing art certificates in known universities like Harvard University Cambridge. ; back them up with references or personal experience base of the following is not tool... About Stack Overflow the company, and a signal line feed, copy and paste URL! And paste this URL into your RSS reader more important than the fixed ranges that have... The time frame could in line with each quarter pending on the deliver cycle of the team sees however. Or responding to other answers or compliance requirements here for most Django sites, itll take week.
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