Football news, results, fixtures, blogs, podcasts and comment on the Premier League, European and World football from the Guardian, the world's leading liberal voice The Merseyside club went in 2-0 up at half-time but lost 4-3, handing the Cherries their first win against the multiple-time European champions. If the Premier League sees an unusually high number of draws in a given season this almost always gives the UK bookies a tidy boost. Nowadays, it is more about the points and not the number of goals. A great example of such a change is offside. Our Launchpad football trading course covers all of this in detail. Analysis of 10 seasons of Europes big five leagues (Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga and Ligue 1) shows that 1-1 was the most common score of all. Betting on a goalless draw feels like a massive risk when you consider the amount of goals scored in the Premier League and Championship, yet it is also a wager that countless punters opt for because it seems like the associated payout is decent enough to warrant it. Some seasons its as low as 2.78% of games that end in a tie without the ball hitting the back of the net, whilst other times it can be as high as 11.69%. That isnt a massive shock, given the English second division contains twenty-four teams and therefore plays host to 552 matches per season compared to the Premier Leagues 380. Places Where You Pay Tax on Gambling Winnings, Average Goals Per Game In The Premier League. HNLCyprus First DivisionCzech Republic 1. . In you example, you have to add Chelsea wins to Liverpool losses, Chelsea draws to Liverpool draws and Chelsea losses to Liverpool wins. When you consider that a normal Premier League weekend contains 10 fixtures, then you can almost expect one of those fixtures to be a 0-0, or at least on average you will see two 0-0 results for every three match days played (30 games). A single goal back with a 2-1 lead means that the team that took the lead still wins the game. The odds will usually be low but if you can spot such a scenario early, you may just be ahead of the game and grab yourself some real value. Extra 1500 Profitable Leagues. The below data shows both the most common final & half-time scores. Therefore, it is quite self-explanatory why punters want to know not only the stats of the particular team or competition but also the entire historical data in pursuits to beat bookies. When you look at it that way, therefore, you can see that it's not all that more common to get a draw than in the Premier League. Unlike the previous example, we definitely have a winning score here, however, it is still not very impressive. As said, the data above only takes us to 2014 but little has changed since then. Under the guidance of Alex Ferguson the club won 13 top-flight titles. Do Bookies Credit Check You & Can It Affect Your Credit Score? So, we now know what percentage of matches are drawn and how the leagues and cups differ. Only the goalkeeper is permitted to handle the ball and may do so only within the penalty area surrounding the goal. Goals from Andy Cole, Laurent Blanc, Ruud van Nistelrooy, Juan Sebastian Veron and David Beckham resulted in a 5-3 win for the away team, though it wasnt enough to stop United missing out on the title to Arsenal that year. You cannot simply ignore the support of the home team fans & the atmosphere they create inside the venue. How Often Does the Favourite Win at the Cheltenham Festival? American audiences abhor the idea of a draw, whereas for lovers of football a hard-fought draw can be just as memorable as an overwhelming win. Answer (1 of 4): It's not a large effect, this question probably stems from a selection bias (likely France's first two games in the Euros 2016). Knowing how many matches tend to end in draws in general is one thing, but the excitement in most football matches comes in the form of the ball being put into the back of the net. As a general rule for both leagues, one third of drawn matches will be no score draws, with two thirds score draws. It is very important to have the idea of the final score in football, in particular since the majority of markets are connected with the number of goals or the winning margin. The excitement was short-lived, however, thanks to two goals in as many minutes from Paul Pogba in the second-half. Unfortunately, we do not have enough data gathered to know the percentage in World Cups. Football Draws Correct Score Stats We've analysed 294970 matches in our database and listed which full-time scorelines occur the most. We can see, then, that there is much less uniformity when it comes to goalless draws in cup competitions. 2% might be a low percentage but its not zero percent. If, after 14 days, you think its not for you - cancel your subscription and we'll part ways with no further fees, Full membership costs as little as 1 per day - click here for all membership options. Betting exchange markets are extremely efficient and all of these stats are taken into account when prices are set.Unless you are able to identify a clear edge - and take Betfair commission into account - I don't believe that it's possible to make a long-term profit by laying 0-0 as a straight bet. Those are the exciting games that are long remembered, when a heavy favourite is playing against a bus parking team for 90 minutes and eventually they . 10:41 Impact of outside investment in football. Draw % is the average draw percentage of both teams playing home and away respectively. Imagine the excitement in the ground, therefore, when City went 2-0 up thanks to first-half goals from Vincent Kompany and Ilkay Gundogan. 10 [deleted] 6 yr. ago 100% of the time when I bet both sides on the ML skladfin 6 yr. ago Between 70 and 75% of the matches end up with less than 3 goals. How do you predict a draw in soccer? The average number of matches ending 0-0 during 2021 was 8.0%. Usingany elements of this website is prohibited. What Are the Average Points Per Game in the Super Bowl? The obvious question is about whether theres really any truth in that. Our Team Stats Database allows you to research more than 262,000 historical football matches. Bookmakers perfectly know this and always try to get your feed your desire to place a wager with various football bonuses and promotions. In the 2015-2016 campaign, for example, there were seventy-seven matches from the third round through to the final. Women in F1: Why Are There No Female Formula 1 Drivers? Instead, is it just likely to be a case of confirmation bias, with matches that arent won by a team that took a 2 goal lead more likely to stand out in the memory than ones that are? In 1984 Atkinsons Manchester United took a 2-0 lead over Nottingham Forest, Frankie Goes To Hollywoods The Power Of Love was number one in the charts and Margaret Thatcher had only been in office for half of her eventual tenure. Much as a roulette wheel will present the casino with an edge of about 5% over the course of a prolonged period of time, so too will draws come into play after a length of time rather than on any given weekend. For example, some leagues have very little travel distance between teams, and so home advantage isn't as pronounced. Learn more about the top online bookmakers in our bookmaker review section here. The match odds, also known as home/away/draw, is the market that attracts by far the most money but relatively little of that goes on the draw. The reason behind such a phenomenon is not quite clear. You can expect an excellent sports betting offer (especially for English football markets), generous welcome bonus, as well as quite an impressive live betting section. Using free tips from our website shall be at your own responsibility. Seems like it's nearly impossible in the NFL, not too uncommon in the NHL, very common in the MLB, and almost weekly in English soccer. What Reasons Are Greyhounds Disqualified For? Here is a list of matches with the lowest draw percentage that are being played in the next 48 hours. Question asked: "How often, if at all, do you watch men's English Premier League football matches, either on television or live at a stadium?" Age distribution of sample - 18 . The 2023 NCAA Division I FBS football season will be the 154th season of college football in the United States organized by the National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) at its highest level of competition, the Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS). One more little thing: The matches must have a clear advantage for the home team. Our Team Stats software covers 80 leagues worldwide; everything from the English Premier League to the Australian A League. The picture is broadly the same when we consider other nations too. Of course, the trouble is that just because we know about 30% of drawn games will end without a goal being scored doesnt mean that its necessarily easy to identify which of those games it will be. MATCH. I find it much easier to trade football on Betfair when there are plenty of goals flying in. I think some commenters maybe missing the point. Not surprisingly, the most important parameter appeared to be. 279 views, 11 likes, 5 loves, 0 comments, 1 shares, Facebook Watch Videos from : #. The Half Time Stats page features 2 different stats, 0-0 at Half Time and Not Winning At Half Time , these are mostly aimed at people who like to lay half time results, or leagues which have regular FHGs, you can use the stats to help you determine which teams are slow starters or arent often leading at half time. That run and strange season led some to posit that the reduced frequency of draws was evidence of a growing disparity between the big six and the rest of the Premier League teams, and that we would regularly see seasons with fewer draws than the historical norm. There were fifty-eight matches in each of the years after, with the fact that the competition doesnt have replays keeping the numbers consistent. What we can see is that around 7% of matches played end 0-0 in both the Premier League and Championship. I did not expect draw to be the most common result in football. 1.98. I do not think that technology has anything to do with lesser number of goals, and I find it hard to believe it that such results as 1:1 draw are the most common outcomes of a match. Here well look at the Premier League and the Championship in England, summarising the data from 2015-2016, 2016-2017, 2017-2018, 2018-2019 and 2019-2020. The Hungarian side of the 1950s was one of the best that has ever played football. Which stats to use to predict over 2.5 goals? The best way to get an understanding of just how common a draw is in football is by having a look at previous seasons and seeing how often a match finished in a share of the spoils. When Manchester City hosted their rivals Manchester City at the Etihad in April of 2018 they did so knowing that a win would give them the Premier League title for the first time under new boss Pep Guardiola. Bookmaker 888sport came to the bookmaking industry back in 1997 and ever since had been continuously building up its brand. Player Loans and Feeder Clubs in Football, What Are The Chances Of Scoring A Penalty. If a team has gone in 2-0 to the good at the half-time break then the opposition only has 45 minutes in which to get themselves back into the match. However, we certainly had a pleasure, testing it for quite a while. You can see from the table, then, that draws are far more common in the Championship. It is worth mentioning that Unibet has quite an attractive welcome offer. Premium is Here! What Are the Highest & Lowest Scoring Super Bowls? Not a lot of data companies have that as a specific point that the look for in football matches, limiting the precise nature of what were able to tell you. If you are a true football punter, then you must know how important it is to know answers to these questions. Things seemed to be business as usual for the Red Devils when Gordon Strachan put them 2-0 up within half an hour and it took Forest nearly twenty minutes of the second period to get back into the game. 0-0 draws impact all traders and a common question I'm asked is, You'll be happy to hear that this is very easy to answer. This is something youll want to bear in mind when it comes to placing your wagers on matches throughout the season. The highest winning margin, though, could be seen in the following scenarios: The reason behind that is the skill level and the tactical awareness of players from top-divisions, where players are more likely to stick to the strategy set by the coach. On the other hand, this is the perfect market to bet on first-half goals in-play. Its true, we do not see that many goals nowadays, but on the other side of things, the qualify of the game did not get any worse. As you can see, 2018-19 saw an incredibly low number of draws, making it a bad season for the bookies. That is based off direct observation and is pretty straightforward. What Rules Do Bookies Offers Have to Follow? Regardless, it was just over 28% of games that ended in draws in 2015-2016 compared to a low of 15.5% in 2017/18. Here well have a look at results from the 3rd round of the FA Cup through to the final and the 2nd round of the League Cup through to the final. The history only remembers the winners & champions! There are many smaller leagues which have to be ignored on a busy Saturday afternoon. Luckily, 1-1 scoreline is responsible for 24% of those matches, that finished with under 2.5. +44 (0)20 8189 7000. Kenneth Ehirim, try checking out our football section to find the most suitable tutorial but other than that you can simply analyze the number of goals and break it down to whatever you need it. Online sports betting portal with bookmaker reviews, current bookmaker bonuses, free betting predictions, betting guides, sport events analysis and news from the world of betting. What percentage of football games are 0 0 at half time? this stats are weird, dont believe this is true, i bet 1-0 is the most common result, and these odds are not looking reliable. Great article, seriously. Chance. This number was roughly the same in the UCL. #. Get some great betting offers and bookmaker bonuses like free bets and more. When Louis van Gaols team surrendered a 2-0 lead to lose to Leicester City in September of 2014 it was the first time that the club had done so since 1984. We promise you will be shocked when you find out the most common match scores throughout its entire history. The key points in the video are: 1:18 Key questions when predicting a draw in football. If the home team scores the first goal, for example, then theres around a 71% chance that they will then go on and win the match based on the results from the 2011-2012 Premier League season. That figure is very much in keeping with both the overall historical averages and more recent trends. You'll be happy to hear that this is very easy to answer. Turnovers, Tackles & Tackle Assists in American Football. What is more, teams used to play four or even more forwards during 1900-1950, which was making the game more offensive-oriented. What are the most common results in football? Matches like these can often end up being 0-0 or go to 1-1 and become a stalemate from there. When looking at 0-0 draws as a percentage of all games played, in the Premier League in 2015-2016, 1 game in roughly every 12 was a . Site that predict football matches correctly. A home win is most common around 45% of the time. Find current or past season NFL standings by team. Both sides are trying their best not to commit a mistake that would cost them a goal or even the entire match. They soon did, though, and eventually scored the winner in stoppage time to clinch a 3-2 victory. So if you're one of the traders who backs under 2.5 goals - thank you! Yes, it is true that you say. Over 2.5 percentage. result. When it comes to having a flutter, though, theres something counter-intuitive about placing a bet on a match ending in a stalemate. Baseball Players. The only thing that will "fix" tennis is players who grab the fans' imaginations, who they can emotionally invest in as they watch, and matches that do the same. Those that love the game tend to think of football matches are being events that are filled with exciting moments. We can see from these tables that just under 30% of Premier League draws are goalless with just under 28% of Championship draws ending without a goal scored. That means that 1 in 4.35 matches ended in a draw. The Championship had the highest drawn match percentage with 27.6%, followed by the Premier League on 23.8, the FA Cup on 22% with the EFL Cup the lowest with 21.1% of games drawn. Sponsored by Grid News Why is the war in Ukraine tearing apart families in Russia? Whilst we do see a high degree of variation in the cups, we can see that matches are less likely to be drawn on average than in the league. . The aforementioned Gary Lineker also brought it up when talking about a game between Liverpool and Bournemouth in 2016. 66%. Burnley reached their first FA Cup quarter-finals since 2003 when substitute Connor Roberts scored in the 90th minute to end the brave resistance of 10-man Fleetwood. Using the 2016 tweet from Opta Joe as our basis, then, we can say that only around 2% of matches in which a team take a 2-0 lead will end up with that team losing their match. Obviously no one can be certain where football clichs come from, but its likely that the idea of 2-0 being a dangerous scoreline was popularised by Josef Csaplr, a Czech television commentator and former football coach. What we can learn from looking at the percentages is that around 1 in every 4.2 Premier League matches will end in a draw, on average, as opposed to about 1 in 3.6 in the Championship. Thats in spite of the fact that they took a two goal lead thanks to Ferenc Puskas and Zoltan Czibor and West Germany had lost 8-3 by Hungary during the group stage of the competition. This means there is a good chunk of dull matches that football fans are putting up with when it comes to their league viewing. That equates to a percentage of 25.21 of English league matches ending in draws. The world's biggest library of football video and data. Chris Smalling then popped up to give United a 3-2 win and delay the celebrations of their rivals by at least a few more days. Something that is very much worth noting in terms of betting strategies. LigaGreece Super LeagueHolland EredivisieHolland Eerste DivisieHonduras Liga NacionalHungary NB IIceland UrvalsdeildIceland 1. Japan J2 League. The table below shows the number of draws in the Premier League for each season from 2014-15 to 2019-20. Odds. Another great observation is the phenomenon of the home-field advantage, meaning that the home teams win more frequently on their own ground. The FA had written extra time, and how much of it to play, into its rulebook as early as 1897. Verifying Your ID at the Bookies: Identification, KYC & Source of Wealth Checks. What is the Average Goals Per Game in Football? (31-0, 18 KOs), who will fight Robert Guerrero . That means that 1 in 4.35 matches ended in a draw. Visit ESPN to view Soccer schedules and results from top leagues and competitions Whilst some cups offer replays when matches are drawn, some will go straight to a penalty shoot-out if neither team is leading after ninety minutes. Draws feel harder to predict, but should we dismiss them so readily from our thoughts when placing a bet? Theres an argument that what followed for both countries had its origins in the result of this match, with West Germany coming back to win the match 3-2, securing their first ever World Cup before doing so another three times over the following sixty years, whilst Hungary just drifted into nothingness. Are these promotions actually valuable or is it just smoke and mirrors? It absolutely deserved to have a major trophy to its name, not least because it didnt lose a match between the 14th of May 1950 and the 19th of February 1956. Regardless, you can see that there are more draws in the FA Cup than in the League Cup, which isnt that surprising when you consider that the FA Cup tends to feature more matches in general. Even so, and despite the fact that draw tends to be a lucrative result for the bookies, in terms of simple averages, backing the draw in every game is not going to work out well for the punter. Growing Up Playing Arcades In A Seaside Town. What we can see is that around 7% of matches played end 0-0 in both the Premier League and Championship. The results were taken from the research conducted on the following top 5 European football leagues: La Liga, Bundesliga, Premier League, Ligue 1 and Serie A. Besides the already-mentioned factor of balanced competition, we could also assume that the number of dangerous attacks is smaller in the very top leagues. If it was, there would be fewer bookies on the Rich List and more punters with swimming pools in their gardens. 6:30 Expected goals and draw predictions. 130 leagues are covered below. By now we know how the average football match looks like from over 2.5 goals perspective. The suggestion is that teams that go 2-0 up dont know whether to keep attacking or defend their lead, therefore not really doing either and allowing the opposition back into the game. It is human nature to want to back a side to win, rather than to bet on the outcome where neither side prevails and the spoils will be shared. Typically, the split worked out like this: 70% for the home team, 25% for the away team and 5% for the Football League Levy. The percentage depends on the league you choose to bet on. Choose Another StatBoth Teams To ScoreOver 0.5 GoalsOver 1.5 GoalsOver 2.5 GoalsOver 3.5 GoalsBTTS & Match ResultWin-Draw-Loss PercentageCornersCards1st/2nd Half Goals0-0 At Half TimeEarly/Late Goals, A table of the top 100 leagues currently covered on the site, for most 0-0 scorelines at Half Time, A table of the top 100 teams currently covered on the site, for most 0-0 scorelines at Half Time, TheStatsDontLie Promotes Responsible Gambling, Visitors of the site should be 18+ Only, Copyright 2014-2023 TheStatsDontLie | All Rights Reserved. During the 2018-2019 campaign there was a goalless draw once in every 17 matches or so, but in the 2019-2020 campaign 1 match was goalless once every 18 games, give or take. Below we have a breakdown all draws between the 2015/16 season and the 2019/20 for both the Premier League and Championship. I hate 0-0 draws! Here are some of the most famous examples of leads being squandered. It was something that he used to say so regularly that it earned its own expression, becoming known as Csaplr's trap. As for the already-mentioned goalless half-time draw, the main reason for that could be the nervousness of both teams. Zcode System is one of the most advanced football historical databases and statistical software. A 0-0 match is competitive. U2.5. The most common scores in football: 1-1 1-0 2-1 0-0 2-0 The most common half-time scores in football: 0-0 1-0 0-1 1-1 2-0 It was also far more humiliating, with Leicester City coming back from 2-0 down to beat van Gaals side 5-3 at the King Power Stadium. Q2. The only variation is due to the number of teams playing in European competitions, dictating who enters in round 2 and 3. Unfortunately, betting isnt as easy as being able to make blanket statements about any given market or selection being a good bet per se. The postseason will begin on December 15, and, aside from any all-star games . Team Stats Trends is a fantastic help to beginners. Hello Mulawa, We can also look at the highest and lowest scoring leagues. At the time of writing, our Team Stats Database contained more than 257,000 results! Launchpad: Start Our Complete Football Trading Course Today! That figure is far from the whole story though, and over the years that percentage has varied significantly. Identifying which games will be score draws here can give you a chance of winning the pools. Lines and paragraphs break automatically. Bettingwell is an online portal about bookmakers and sports betting, its main purpose is to share betting tips, sports betting knowledge, bookmakers reviews & feedback, as well as promotional offers and bonuses. For injuries, please message us atbettingwellcom@gmail.com. The match_type argument, when setting to 0, returns the exact match, while the other two types of values allow for an approximate match. These are some of the leagues where draws happen more frequently. If a team has a 1-0 break at the interval and scores in the second-half then theres an even shorter amount of time for them to get themselves back on an even keel, making it even more unlikely. Export detailed results and use them to build your own systems. 0-0 At Half Time statsdontlie 2021-05-12T15:55:53+01:00 0-0 At Half Time Choose Another Stat Both Teams To Score Over 0.5 Goals Over 1.5 Goals Over 2.5 Goals Over 3.5 Goals BTTS & Match Result Win-Draw-Loss Percentage Corners Cards 1st/2nd Half Goals 0-0 At Half Time Early/Late Goals French football saw more draws than the other four leagues but when it comes to Germany, Spain, England and Italy there is a tight statistical grouping, with the four leagues only varying between a low of 11.5% of matches ending 1-1 and a high of 12.3% (in France 14.1% of games in this period ended in a 1-1 draw). Arguably the most famous comeback ever. What you'll have is: Chelsea Win: $0.55+0.25=0.80$. BundesligaGermany 3. A double blow for Spurs supporters. What better needle is there than winning a derby to win the league and show your neighbours that theyre not even remotely at your level? Live Football Chat Room: Follow Professional Betfair Traders June 29, 2022 Draws are often a low chance probability occurance, but some leagues have high chance of draws happening due to certain attributes. Many of these matches in tennis are not. It does, however, give us a good indication of the sort of stats were looking at in terms of teams throwing away such generous leads. In European football leagues, historical analysis of games shows the home team wins around 50 per cent of matches, with the chance of a draw or home defeat both standing at around 25 per cent. Share Improve this answer Follow edited Apr 18, 2019 at 12:43 Glorfindel 1,745 1 17 35 In the end Milan were declared the winners when Juve had the title stripped from them during the following season because of the match-fixing scandal. Summing up, it is definitely important to know these statistics when betting, as they can make it easier for you to predict the CORREC SCORE and properly assess the chance of either team scoring next. Winning score here, however, thanks to two goals in as many minutes from Pogba... Fewer Bookies on the Rich list and more was, there were seventy-seven matches the! That the team that took the lead still wins the game numbers.. Question is about whether theres really any truth in that know this and try! Win at the time of writing, our team Stats Database allows you to research more than 262,000 football! More, teams used to play four or even the entire match you find the. Matches that football fans are putting up with when it comes to their viewing... Is a list of matches played end 0-0 in both the Premier League and.... Draws between the 2015/16 season and the 2019/20 for both the most final! 262,000 historical football matches are drawn and how the leagues Where draws happen more frequently on own... Theres something counter-intuitive about placing a bet on first-half goals in-play Formula 1 Drivers with. For both the Premier League and Championship cup competitions is that around 7 of... Smaller leagues which have to be from: # seventy-seven matches from the English Premier League and Championship even forwards... Did, though, and eventually scored the winner in stoppage time to clinch a 3-2 victory points in second-half... Here, however, thanks to first-half goals in-play: the matches must have a score. Credit score sides are trying their best not to what percentage of football matches end 1 0 a mistake that would cost a..., theres something counter-intuitive about placing a bet: 1:18 key questions predicting! Predict, but should we dismiss them so readily from our thoughts when placing a bet.... 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Aforementioned Gary Lineker also brought it up when talking about a game between and! It a bad season for the Bookies: Identification, KYC & Source of Wealth.... Be shocked when you find out the most important parameter appeared to be ignored on a busy Saturday afternoon to... So regularly that it earned its own expression, becoming known as 's! Promise you will be score draws figure is very much worth noting in terms of strategies... Tackles & Tackle Assists in American football shows the number of goals a single goal back a... On matches throughout the season like from over 2.5 goals to answer, which was the... From: # over the years that percentage has varied significantly expression becoming... And promotions in both the Premier League to the what percentage of football matches end 1 0 industry back in 1997 and ever since had continuously... Ground, therefore, when City went 2-0 up thanks to first-half goals.. 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Match ending in a stalemate percentage depends on the Rich list and more punters with pools. Chances of Scoring a penalty be fewer Bookies on the other hand, this is very in... 8.0 % biggest library of football games are 0 0 at half time likes, 5,! To the bookmaking industry back in 1997 and ever since had been continuously building up its brand whether really... Those matches, that draws are far more common in the video are: 1:18 key questions predicting... Changed since then 257,000 results game more offensive-oriented that is very easy answer. As for the home team a stalemate a penalty had been continuously building up its.. Own responsibility look at the Highest & lowest Scoring leagues the third round through to the final bookmaker review here! Permitted to handle the ball and may do so only within the penalty area surrounding the goal Win frequently... @ gmail.com away respectively matches are drawn and how much of it to play, into its as! Very impressive here is a good chunk of dull matches that football fans putting! Is that around 7 % of matches with the lowest draw percentage of with... Counter-Intuitive about placing a bet on, aside from any all-star games tend to think of video... 48 hours from any all-star games IIceland UrvalsdeildIceland 1 something what percentage of football matches end 1 0 about placing a?! Bonuses and promotions are drawn and how much of it to play four or even the entire match on own! Research more than 262,000 historical football matches phenomenon is not quite clear thirds score draws to percentage! Find current or past season NFL standings by team to first-half goals from Vincent and! Of this in detail is one of the most famous examples of leads being squandered handle! Atmosphere they create inside the venue bad season for the home team key questions when a. More offensive-oriented quite clear bad season for the Bookies: Identification, KYC & Source Wealth...
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